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Match preview: Sydney Swans v Carlton

September 3rd 2006 00:43
SYDNEY v CARLTON

WHERE & WHEN: SCG, 1:10pm AEST, Sunday 3 September

TV & RADIO: Channel 9 (Melbourne, Adelaide, Perth, Sydney, Brisbane), Triple M (Sydney)

HEAD TO HEAD: Sydney 77 Carlton 124

TAB SPORTSBET ODDS: Sydney $1.08 Carlton $6.50

BETFAIR: Sydney $1.09, Carlton $10

LAST TIME: Carlton 11.8 (74) def. by Sydney Swans 12.9 (81), round 3, 2006 at Telstra Dome

Both sides have a fair bit riding on this game. A win for the Swans and they are guaranteed a top four berth and a showdown with West Coast in Perth in week one of the finals.


A win for the Blues and they will avoid the inglorious honour of wooden spoons in consecutive years.

The Swans returned to some of their best form against the Lions last Saturday night, but coach Paul Roos ruled out resting any of his premiership stars who are carrying some niggling injuries at this late stage of the season.

Co-captain Barry Hall has been nursing a back complaint and speculation was mounting during the week that he wouldn't play, but you would expect the Swans hardman to line-up, especially with what's on offer.

The Swans have made no changes from the side that thumped Brisbane by 57-points, with enigmatic forward Nick Davis retaining his place.

Ruckman Darren Jolly continued his rich vein of form against the Lions last Saturday night with 41 hitouts and looms as a key player in today's match.

Win the clearances at the SCG and you are going to win more games of football than you lose.

Adam Goodes was simply superb last weekend and did his Brownlow medal chances no harm with 24 touches.

Andrew Walker appears to be a likely match-up for the Swans big man, with youngster Andrew Carazzo another option to take Goodes after keeping Magpie Heath Shaw to ten possessions while helping himself to 20 touches last Sunday.


Despite winning by almost ten goals against the Lions, the Swans had no player kick more than two majors- highlighting the multitude of options Sydney have up forward which will be difficult for the Blues to cover.

You would expect Lance Whitnall who is surely in line for All-Australian selection to match-up on Barry Hall who hasn't kicked a big bag in recent weeks and will be keen to do so in the run into the finals.

The last time these two sides met back in round 3 it was a tight affair as the Swans just got over the line by 7 points to record their first win of the season.

The Swans are a different side from round 3- Tadhg Kennelly is back in the side and providing plenty of drive off the half-back line and Sydney has won three of their past four and are starting to show some of the form which saw them win last year's flag.

While the Swans are pushing for back-to-back flags the Blues are desperately trying to avoid consecutive wooden spoons.

Despite their current ladder position Carlton has shown some good signs in recent times, and the 44-point margin against the Pies didn't do them any justice.

Perhaps the most pleasing aspect to come out of the match for coach Denis Pagan was the fact that his side posted 17 majors, yet spearhead Brendon Fevola only managed three goals.

Kade Simpson continues to impress and looks to be a future star after getting 30 possessions against the Pies and the Irish experiment O'hAilpin appears to be paying dividends.

The Blues have been impressive in the second half of the year, but as has so often been the case they have struggled to string together four quarters of football.

They had their best first quarter of the year against the Pies last Sunday at the MCG but fell away badly in the last- symptomatic of a young side.

Carlton is building for the future and has some impressive youngsters on their list, and can add another two to that list with Ryan Jackson and Jake Edwards named, while Jordan Bannister is sidelined with suspension.

The Blues have not played at the SCG in five years, so it will be interesting to see how they cope with the smaller dimensions.

The key for Carlton is if they get the ball down their enough to Fevola and have excitement machine Eddie Betts crumbing then they are capable of kicking a winning score.

This is easier said than done, and a lot of things will have to go the Blues way for them to be a chance, especially against a Swans defence which has been particularly miserly in recent weeks.

With the lure of a top four berth on the line, Sydney simply have too much to play for. Expect the multi-pronged attack of the Swans to be too much to bare for the Blues as Sydney records a comfortable win. Swans by 52 points.

SYDNEY
B: Dempster, Barry, Malceski
HB: Kennelly, Roberts-Thomson, C.Bolton
C: Buchanan, Kirk, Ablett
HF: O'Keefe, O'Loughlin, J.Bolton
F: Schneider, Hall, Fosdike
FOLL: Jolly, Goodes, McVeigh
I/C (from): Bevan, Davis, Dempster, Doyle, Grundy, Mathews, Vogels
IN: Ablett, Roberts-Thomson, Vogels
OUT: -

CARLTON
B: Carrazzo, Thornton, S.O'hAilpin
HB: Scotland, Whitnall, Sporn
C: Bower, Lappin, Waite
HF: Simpson, Deluca, Fisher
F: Betts, Fevola, Kotoufides
FOLL: French, Walker, Houlihan
I/C (from): Blackwell, Edwards, Jackson, McLaren, McGrath, Smith, Teague
IN: Edwards, Jackson, McLaren, Teague
OUT: Bannister (suspended)
NEW: Jake Edwards (Western Jets), Ryan Jackson (Northern Knights)

Field umpires: Donlon, Avon, McInerney
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